Buttle's World

Al Qaeda Losing in Iraq

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I don’t like polls. But this one does seem interesting (and the margins are wide enough to probably mean something.)

Iraqi confidence in Iraqi forces (as opposed to militias) is increasing while its confidence in US forces is decreasing. Given US policies there can be little doubt but that US forces have lost significant Shia support and gained some Sunni support. I suspect increasing number of Shia no longer believe that American forces are capable of protecting them and with increased confidence in their government’s capabilities no longer fear the consequences of an American withdrawal.

This is a case where decreasing confidence in the American Military is actually a positive sign – at least to the extent that it’s balanced by increased confidence in the Iraqi forces.

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