Buttle's World

4 June, 2008

In a Nutshell

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 14:17

As I’ve said before, I’ve lived through an awful lot of alarmism which has turned out to be exactly, totally, 180 degrees wrong (and never, once, right), which is enough to make me very skeptical of AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming). It’s too convenient a coincidence that every single thing we’re supposed to “do about it” lines up with Socialist dreams of a command and control economy.

Jonah Goldberg just posted an email from an apparent expert who has to remain anonymous (heterodoxy in this area can get you fired quickly). He sums up my main scientific objections nicely:

Global warming is happening – we are not in an ice age. Is anthropogenic global warming (AGW) happening? The data doesn’t support that case: it has been warmer in the past with less CO2; it has been colder in the past with more CO2. It is most likely that the CO2-IR system is saturated, i.e. there isn’t enough IR photons to raise the state of each CO2 molecule. The Gore-Hansen “CO2 tipping point” is physically impossible – the system would have run away to its end state long ago when the CO2 was 4000 ppm (10 times more than now and, btw, the earth was then in an ice age).

The claim that “The time scale for warming is long enough to be compatible with a decade of cooling,” is not true of the IPCC GCM ensemble predictions. They are already falsified at the 95% level.

Whether you believe these claims or not, please don’t allow the greens to “frame” the debate keep the focus on AGW, not global warming, much less climate change.

(Emphasis mine.)

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