Buttle's World

26 September, 2008

I hope Larry is right

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 16:55

Larry Kudlow obviously knows more about economics than I do. This is the first hopeful thing I’ve heard about this whole mess.

I don’t think a lot of folks understand this win-win scenario. Let me repeat: The taxpayers own the bonds the Treasury buys; the taxpayers own the cash flows generated by the bonds; the taxpayers own the profits when the bonds are sold; and the taxpayers benefit when the profits and cash flows are used to pay-down government debt.

Actually, for taxpayers, it’s a win-win-win-win.

I don’t know what happens if the values of those assets keeps dropping for a while, but it does seem that they’ll eventually come back up.

A Test Pilot’s Test Pilot

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 16:28

I just finished reading Always Another Dawn, available as a scanned copy on the Scott Crossfield Foundation web site. As a child of the space age and a pilot I found it inspiring. Any pilot who can read all of his accounts without holding his breath at least once is a better test pilot candidate than I am. One thing for sure, he’s goaded me to make my landings better.

Crossfield’s passion and humor shine through in this book, written in late 1960 before the end of the X-15 program and before any astronauts ever flew. It’s a fascinating look at the early days at Edwards and really illustrates the tremendous effort that went in to flight testing in those days.

Reading this book you’ll learn some things you probably didn’t expect to, such as why space suits were silver, and what an X-15 cockpit had in common with an International Harvester tractor.

I always knew that rocket planes were complicated, expensive, dangerous and often tricky to fly. Crossfield’s descriptions of the engineering challenges and, especially, of his flights really make it clear why they were complicated, expensive, dangerous and tricky to fly. (You could also just download a PDF of the X-15 flight manual, but it’s a lot drier than Crossfield’s book. Although seeing the switches he refers to is interesting.)

Oh – and I forgot to mention the most important part – fun. Through all the frustration, aborted flights and brushes with death Crossfield cannot hide the fact that flying is fun. He clearly enjoyed the hell out of his flying.

It was a life-long passion. He died flying, at the age of 84, in an encounter with severe weather. Pilots spend a lot of time reading about accidents. His was specially written up in one magazine that I read. I think he’d be happy to know that his last flight provided data that will probably save the lives of other pilots.

It’s terrific that his family has set up that web site to keep his mission and memory going.

25 September, 2008

The Chicago Way

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 22:15

Maybe “Community Organizer” is just Chicago-ese for thug.

Email Scam Warning!

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 8:46

Beware! This email is making the rounds! Don’t be taken in!

From: paulson@treasury.gov
Date: September 24, 2008 12:39:09 PM PDT
To: steve@xxxxxxx.com
Subject: URGENT BUSINESS RELATIONSHIP!!!!!

Dear American:
I need to ask you to support an urgent secret business relationship
with a transfer of funds of great magnitude.

I am Ministry of the Treasury of the Republic of America. My country
has had crisis that has caused the need for large transfer of funds
of 700 billion dollars US. If you would assist me in this transfer,
it would be most profitable to you.

I am working with Mr. Phil Gramm, lobbyist for UBS, who will be my

replacement as Ministry of the Treasury in January. As a Senator, you
may know him as the leader of the American banking deregulation
movement in the 1990s. This transactin is 100% safe.

This is a matter of great urgency. We need a blank check. We need the
funds as quickly as possible. We cannot directly transfer these funds
in the names of our close friends because we are constantly under
surveillance. My family lawyer advised me that I should look for a
reliable and trustworthy person who will act as a next of kin so the
funds can be transferred.

Please reply with all of your bank account, IRA and college fund
account numbers and those of your children and grandchildren to
wallstreetbailout@treasury.gov so that we may transfer your
commission for this transaction. After I receive that information, I
will respond with detailed information about safeguards that will be
used to protect the funds.

Yours Faithfully Minister of Treasury Paulson

23 September, 2008

Surely

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 20:22

VDH:

Surely in the interest of transparency and conflict of interest, any Senator, Republican or Democrat, who accepted money from Freddie and Frannie, or any of the imperiled investment houses, should recuse themselves from the present hearings—but then there might not be a quorum.

Joe Biden, the Gift That Keeps On Giving

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 8:36

I’ve heard that the *Republican strategy regarding this self-proclaimed Smartest Guy in the Room is to let him keep talking.

“When the stock market crashed, Franklin Roosevelt got on the television and didn’t just talk about the princes of greed,” Biden told Couric. “He said, ‘Look, here’s what happened.'”

Go, Joe.

* I just learned that’s a Jay Leno line.

Barack Obama said again that he wants to raise taxes on the rich—that’s provided by November anyone is still rich. … That seems to be the theme: Joe Biden said that paying higher taxes is patriotic. The Republican strategy on Joe Biden? Let him keep talking.

22 September, 2008

The God Within

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 21:57

Some recent posts on The Corner touched a nerve. Mike Potemra invoked some pretzel logic to claim that Christopher Hitchens does believe in God. Having just attended a debate between Hitch and Msgr. Lorenzo Albacete he writes

In the course of the discussion, Hitchens claimed not to be a reductionist; he said mankind cannot do without the “numinous” and (I think this was his other phrase) the “transcendent.” (He located this in, for example, Verdi’s “Requiem.”) Now the numinous and the transcendent are exactly what we believers mean by God. Hitchens says what he doesn’t believe in is the “supernatural” — but that’s merely a quibble about words. If you use the word “nature” — as so many people do — as interchangeable with “what is” or “being,” then God is not “super-natural” at all, because — as Aquinas, chiefly, reminds us — God is the pure act of Being itself, Ipsum Esse Subsistens.

Then a like-minded poli-sci professor emailed in to opine

I have often made a similar point to my students and to other professors:  Hitchens acts as if there are moral standards that never change—take human rights.  For Hitchens, human rights can never be contravened morally or rightly.  In some sense, I argued, he believes in natural rights (as opposed to natural wrongs).  To make it more interesting he is piously outraged when some rights have been violated.  Hitchens may not believe in the personal God many do, but he does believe in a god that is a non arbitrary standard of right and wrong, good and evil.

Jim Manzi later piped in

I couldn’t agree more. I’ve banged on and on and on in blog posts about the point that morality (as opposed to prudence dressed up as morality) strikes me as absurd in a purely naturalistic universe.

All I can say is that God is quite the moving target. He’s a supernatural deity who is sometimes not supernatural, he’s anything “numinous” or “transcendent”, and he’s a “non arbitrary standard of right and wrong”. That’s when he isn’t busy being the pure act of being. It’s no wonder I’m dizzy what with the goal posts whizzing about so.

I’m not here to defend Hitch. He’s quite capable of doing that on his own, and I fully recognize he can be abrasive and overbearing. I want to concentrate on what these gentlemen seem to be claiming, in spite of the fact that they’ll probably never see my little blog.

The first problem I have is with a false dichotomy. Saying that science provides no moral guidance reminds me of Thomas Sowell:

“Many have argued that capitalism does not offer a satisfactory moral message. But that is like saying that calculus does not contain cabrohydrates, amino acids, or other essential nutrients. Everything fails by irrevelant standards.” (emphasis added)

Science is a method for knowing the truth about nature. Morality is about behavioral choices. Conflating the two is as false a dichotomy as having to choose between science and religion. As John Derbyshire pointed out, “the opposite of science is not religion; the opposite of science is wishful thinking”.

Playing semantic games with the word “supernatural” is just Orwellian. It’s not moving the goalposts; it’s erasing the boundaries of the playing field. The natural world can be observed and tested. God can’t. Appealing to authority, even Aquinas, to arbitrarily redefine something which must be taken on faith as natural is fallacious.

Claiming that recognizing the numinous and transcendent in man is a belief in God is a willful misreading of the words. When Hitch used numinous he clearly meant “appealing to the higher emotions or to the aesthetic sense” and when he said transcendent it meant something more like “relating to experience as determined by the mind’s makeup” than what Potemra and Manzi claim.

I used to be one of the faithful. The God I believed in was not some vaguely numinous transcendent idea, but a specific being. If Potemra and Manzi believe in such an ethereal notion that’s their business, but I don’t think they can speak for all believers with howlers like “[n]ow the numinous and the transcendent are exactly what we believers mean by God.” This reminds me of the “god of the gaps” maneuvering at the Discovery Institute: Just keep redefining the problem until the only possible solution looks like your deity.

Getting finally to the matter of morals in a godless universe, I think the problem is explainable as internal versus external decision making. A wonderful book on child rearing I read makes the case that children who do things because their parents want it are responding to external guidance. If the child learns what is right and wrong and makes his own choices he is using internal guidance. It should be obvious which one will best survive the buffeting of peer pressure in later life.

The most comfortable thing about a belief in God is not having to worry about where the rules come from. They simply come from the Ultimate Authority. Period. That’s external guidance. It’s also one of the most common and pernicious logical fallacies – the Appeal to Authority. I happen to think that religions have evolved to help form cohesive groups and pass along moral guidance. At their best they represent the wisdom of the masses, and the accumulated wisdom of experience. On the other hand it should not come as any shock that many of our morals have evolved with us biologically. It’s an evolutionary advantage to love your children, because human children can’t survive on their own. The fact that my love for my daughter came from nature and my own choices makes it no less real than a love gifted by God.

Repeat after me: I have a right to exist.

Yes, I’ve read my Nathaniel Branden. Once you can say the above and mean it, rationally you must conclude that others also have the right to exist. From those two statements you can derive just about all the morality you need. But let’s even include that accumulated wisdom from the great religions and recognize that fidelity and responsibility and all the nice refinements are also required for success. That’s internal guidance.

While man requires an external diety to justify the law, even if that diety exists, then man is still a child. Healthy adults make their own choices and evaluate their own consequences, as well as observe the consequences of choices made by others.

It’s a wonderful, numinous and transcendent thing that man has figured out morality. Why is it so hard to take credit for it? The founding fathers of this country knew that certain truths were self evident. That’s because they are. It is quite possible to believe in a fixed set of morals and not believe in a supernatural being. One need not believe in any sort of god to know that Verdi’s Requiem is transcendent and numinous. And, protestations to the contrary notwithstanding, God is not a natural thing. He is not necessary to explain anything.

If anybody tries dragging Darwin into a debate on morals, they are being dishonest. Evolution just happens to be the scientific truth about how we became the species we are. It is completely silent on many things, notably the origins of life and morality. It was the Marxists who tried to co-opt Darwin to justify their junk political “science”.

If God has accomplished wonders, we invented him. Any species that can create Mozart, pesto sauce and space ships is divine in its own right. It’s about time we grew up and took credit.

Black Widow

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 17:26

When I was a little boy my dad gave me a modelof the P-61 Black Widow. I’ve always loved the way that airplane looked: every bit as badass as it really was. I heard stories about it, its first-ever airborn radar, and how the IFF (Identification Friend or Foe) system designed for it became the transponder pilots still use today.

I was thrilled to be able to see one in person years ago at Wright Patterson. Today I was corresponding with someone about great-looking aircraft (my other favorites are the Connie, the DC-3 and the Staggerwing) and stumbled across this P-61 recovery and restoration project.

I’ll bet it’d sound awesome.

Disinvitation

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 16:55

Council Demands Palin Ouster from Fallout Shelter

Newark, Blast Ring 4: Radioactive mutants from the National Jewish Democratic Council today tapped an angry Morse code press release message on the lid of the fallout shelter of another Jewish organization, demanding that it “immediately disinvite” controversial Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin from its fortified underground bunker.

Want some death threats?

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 14:17

Just make the case that the mortgage meltdown is the Democrats’ fault.

Steve Hayward writes:

As previously mentioned, don’t miss Kevin Hassett’s Bloomberg News column this morning on how Democrats caused this financial meltdown.  Kevin has clearly struck a nerve; he tells me his e-mail and answering machine are getting filled up with howls of indignation and death threats.  Implicitly McCain is missing a huge opening here.

The Glove

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 9:57

A couple of Stanford biologists have invented an amazing set of gloves.

In the early 1990s, Heller and Grahn first began looking at using controlled heat to halt tremors in patients coming out of anesthesia. When they put their device over the hand and arm of a patient at Stanford Medical Center, “The core temperature went up so fast,” Grahn said, “we thought our recording equipment had broken.” The tremors stopped.

Then they looked at using it for cooling. Katie bar the door.

Their first “aha” moment in cooling came after they talked their assistant Vinh Cao into doing his regular workouts in the lab instead of at the gym. His routine included 100 pull-ups. One day, Grahn and Heller started using an early version of the Glove to cool him for 3 minutes between rounds of pull-ups. They saw that with the cooling, his 11th round of pull-ups was as strong as his first. Within six weeks of training with the cooling breaks, Cao did 180 pull-ups a session. Six weeks later, he went from 180 to 616.

As you can imagine, the DOD is as interested as sports teams.

Update:

Wired has an article on just how interested.

Astroturf

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 8:09

The Jawa Report has a big post, example of the kind of investigative reporting bloggers do and the MSM no longer does, tentatively linking the Obama campaign with anti-Palin smears. Even if it wasn’t Barry’s campaign directly, it seems like his friends include an awful lot of sock puppets.

Our research suggests that a subdivision of one of the largest public relations firms in the world most likely started and promulgated rumors about Sarah Palin that were known to be false. These rumors were spread in a surreptitious manner to avoid exposure.

It is also likely that the PR firm was paid by outside sources to run the smear campaign. While not conclusive, evidence suggests a link to the Barack Obama campaign. Namely:

  • Evidence suggests that a YouTube video with false claims about Palin was uploaded and promoted by members of a professional PR firm.
  • The family that runs the PR firm has extensive ties to the Democratic Party, the netroots, and are staunch Obama supporters.
  • Evidence suggests that the firm engaged in a concerted effort to distribute the video in such a way that it would appear to have gone viral on its own. Yet this effort took place on company time.
  • Evidence suggests that these distribution efforts included actions by at least one employee of the firm who is unconnected with the family running the company.
  • The voice-over artist used in this supposedly amateur video is a professional.
  • This same voice-over artist has worked extensively with David Axelrod’s firm, which has a history of engaging in phony grassroots efforts, otherwise known as “astroturfing.”
  • David Axelrod is Barack Obama’s chief media strategist.
  • The same voice-over artist has worked directly for the Barack Obama campaign.

This suggests that false rumors and outright lies about Sarah Palin and John McCain being spread on the internet are being orchestrated by political partisans and are not an organic grassroots phenomenon led by the left wing fringe.

Update:

No doubt pure coincidence:

UPDATE: Within an hour of this post going up, YouTube videos implicating Ethan Winner were yanked, sockpuppet accounts deleted, and more importantly, the Wikipedia entry on David Axelrod began to edit out mentions of his well known astroturfing campaigns. Hmmm, it sounds to me like we’re on to something.

We have backups of all the deleted websites, and will update as soon as we can.

Further Update:

The scraping sound you hear are Astroturfing articles being shoveled into the memory hole. This is getting fun.

21 September, 2008

Why the Surge Worked

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 7:16

Future military historians may end up studying and quoting Gen. David Petraeus nearly as much as they do T. E. Lawrence. And those who dig a little deeper may also study Gen. Jack Keane.

Gen. Keane wants to make sure people understand why the surge worked. “I have a theory” about the unexpectedly fast turnaround, he says. “Whether they be Sunni, Shia or Kurd, anyone who was being touched by that war after four years was fed up with it. And I think once a solution was being provided, once they saw the Americans were truly willing to take risks and die to protect their women and children and their way of life, they decided one, to protect the Americans, and two, to turn in the enemies that were around them who were intimidating and terrorizing them; that gave them the courage to do it.”

19 September, 2008

Arrrrrr!

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 6:11

It be a day fer celibratin’, me buckos.

18 September, 2008

Get Sir Neville Mariner on the phone!

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 20:44

He and the Academy have some recording to do.

Cute

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 14:13

Michelle Obama, Queen of Snark.

What bugs me, as it often does in presidential elections is this:

She told the audience of 600 that her husband is the only candidate focused on equal pay, health care, affordable college, teacher recruitment and other issues of concern to women. She said that’s what the election should be about.

Why doesn’t she get challenged on the fact that the president has authority to address not one of those things?

Health care. Education. The federal government isn’t authorized by the constitution to do a thing about any of those. (Yes, I know that the FDA can arguably be based on interstate commerce, but I’m not looking to get side tracked by what would happen with drugs made and sold within a given state.)

And this “Equal pay” thing is just beyond stupid. If women really got paid 80% of what men do for the same work, no business would ever hire a man.

I guess you can’t pass Econ 101 if you want to be a good Marxist.

George Santayana, Please Call Your Office

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 7:49

17 September, 2008

Hope and Change

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 23:30

We are the vermin we’ve been waiting for.

16 September, 2008

Barry Knows Finance

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 18:36


Science Works

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 12:01

Here’s a textbook example of how it self-corrects when people try foisting junk on the scientific world. Junk like cell phones damaging your DNA.

In any case, perhaps because the results reported by the Rüdiger group seemed so surprising, other scientists scrutinized the data very closely. One of the scientists mounting this scrutiny, Alexander Lerchl, professor of biology at Jacobs University Bremen, concluded that the variation in the data from a 2005 paper in Mutation Research was too low to be consistent with “data from biological experiments”.

Need a laugh?

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 5:43

The Republicans chose that stupid green/blue background for McCain. Now both sides get hit with it.

And this is just funny no matter whose side you’re on.

15 September, 2008

Islamism is the Racism of Our Time

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 14:53

Naser Khader, a Muslim and member of the Danish Parliament, tries to make the case. I think the term “racism” is oft misapplied, especially when Islamists accuse their opponents of it. In part of the article it seems that Khader is making a metaphorical case:

Islamism is the racism of our time. It can be said no more clearly than this. And as such, a united democratic world must turn against Islamism — not seeking ‘dialogue’ or ‘understanding’, but in rejection and concrete resistance.

That seems to say that Islamism should be fought the way racism is fought. But here he really calls it racism:

I believe that the Danish government should use Durban II to propose a condemnation of political Islam as a racist ideology. We owe it to ourselves and to our soldiers, who set their lives on the line fighting terrorism on the battlefield, that we at the lofty conferences in the international society act equally firmly and with principle against Islamism.

As much as I relish the idea of hijacing a UN conference this way, it’s not my race that Jihadists hate: It’s my unwillingness to submit. This part, though, is hard to argue with:

It is time that we discard the velvet gloves and make this clear: There exist religious practices that are not compatible with fundamental human rights. Islamism is one of those, and must therefore be fought.

It is not sufficient to keep killing Taliban warriors on the battlefields of Afghanistan, if we do not simultaneously put our fullest efforts into the other battle. If our souls are lost to the Islamists, we will eventually lose the War on Terror. Democracy must learn to strike hard.

Paper or Plastic?

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 10:58

Full disclosure: I’m in this movie. But you won’t see me. Still, it’s a lot of fun; an affectionate look at middle America. Catch it if you can.

14 September, 2008

The Sun Has Set

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 19:42

Britain is not only dead, but the corpse is already starting to stink.

ISLAMIC law has been officially adopted in Britain, with sharia courts given powers to rule on Muslim civil cases.

The government has quietly sanctioned the powers for sharia judges to rule on cases ranging from divorce and financial disputes to those involving domestic violence.

Rulings issued by a network of five sharia courts are enforceable with the full power of the judicial system, through the county courts or High Court.

In the absense of a clear policy on Iran

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 19:35

this will do.

13 September, 2008

Editing

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 10:31

I’m in the film business, which has given me the opportunity to learn just how powerful editing can be. If you’ve never shaped a scene in editing, you just have no idea. You can come close by seeing yourself edited in the media. I was interviewed for an industry magazine puff piece years ago and was stunned at how they turned me into a blithering illiterate. I’ve since wished that everyone could have that experience just once so they’d know to never trust the media on anything.

You can have that experience vicariously, sort of, thanks to Mark Levin. Read these excerpts of the Gibson/Palin interview and then be suspicious of everything you ever see that isn’t complete and unedited. Gibson and ABC were so egregiously heavy-handed (dare I say amateurish?) that even UPI thinks there may be a backlash.

No sh*t, Sherlock.

I think that politicians, and anybody else getting interviewed, should run their own camera or audio recorder so they can post the raw interview on the web. And I’m not alone. It would be cheap insurance against typical MSM hatchet jobs, and any interviewer who refuses that as a condition has revealed himself an untrustworthy adversary instead of a reporter of fact.

Update:

It seems that some folks already do, with predictable results.

Glenn: Bravo for your column on the need for politicians to make their own record of interviews. I am a corporate communications consultant and I routinely advise my clients not to agree to taped interviews. If a taped interview is unavoidable, I tell them that when the news crew arrives and starts setting up its cameras and microphones, the interview subject should set up his own cameras and microphones. A few have taken my advice, but many do not, thinking it will tick off the media even more. I tell them the media is not your friend under any circumstances and you are foolish to trust it.

I must say, though, on the few occasions when my advice was heeded, I wished I had a camera of my own to record the priceless expressions on the reporters’ faces as we set up our own cameras. “What are those for?” one asked nervously. “Oh, we just have a policy of making our own record,” I said nonchalantly. He seemed a bit perturbed, but went ahead with the interview, which turned out tough, but reasonably fair. I can’t help but think that having our own record made at least some difference.

12 September, 2008

Empty Suit Jitters

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 20:09

So they work hard to nominate a guy who’s all sizzle, and suddenly they notice there’s no steak.

Maybe they hear the marching of an Army of Sarahs.

Wile E. Reporter

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 19:40

Suuuuper Journalist!

Of course it’s the Religion of Peace

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 15:41

which is why its Saudi leaders say it’s OK to kill people who broadcast “bad” programming during Ramadan.

Raise your hand if you’re for Obama

Filed under: Posts — clgood @ 15:15

Because, as he and his spokesman seem to have forgotten, thanks to beatings by communists McCain can’t raise his.

Even for a Marxist Obama has a vanishingly small amount of class. And, as Mark Steyn points out, he’s not so hot with Google his own self.

Update:

It gets better.

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